← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.73+6.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.61+10.81vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.71+8.74vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.18+1.46vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.19vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.68+1.67vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.38+2.16vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.38+0.84vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.72-1.56vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.95vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.56-1.35vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.43vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.29-3.76vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.71+0.96vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.49-2.57vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.87vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.28-8.93vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-7.44vs Predicted
-
20University of Miami1.93-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65Brown University2.737.6%1st Place
-
12.81University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
-
11.74University of Pennsylvania1.712.9%1st Place
-
5.46Harvard University3.1813.7%1st Place
-
10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.3%1st Place
-
7.67Roger Williams University2.688.0%1st Place
-
9.16Dartmouth College2.385.6%1st Place
-
8.84College of Charleston2.386.5%1st Place
-
7.44Stanford University2.728.0%1st Place
-
9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.285.7%1st Place
-
9.65Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
-
12.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.0%1st Place
-
9.24Yale University2.295.2%1st Place
-
14.39Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
-
15.96Connecticut College0.711.1%1st Place
-
13.43Northwestern University1.492.4%1st Place
-
12.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.623.2%1st Place
-
9.07Tulane University2.286.1%1st Place
-
11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of Miami1.933.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 32.9% |
| Shea Smith | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.