Race 4A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johanna Kincaid 24.5% 20.8% 14.5% 12.7% 9.6% 8.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.9%
Colby Vavolotis 17.7% 16.0% 17.1% 11.9% 12.6% 10.6% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Johannes Raatz 6.3% 5.5% 8.2% 6.4% 8.5% 9.7% 12.9% 15.7% 15.7% 11.1%
Tasha Greenwood 5.7% 7.4% 8.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.2% 14.2% 14.3% 12.1% 8.7%
John Fonte 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 6.0% 5.6% 7.9% 15.9% 48.4%
Kaitlyn Norton 8.6% 8.5% 8.1% 9.8% 11.9% 11.0% 11.4% 11.4% 13.0% 6.3%
Christopher Jensen 9.9% 11.2% 11.6% 13.5% 11.4% 13.4% 10.3% 8.8% 7.2% 2.7%
Andrew Morgan 4.7% 6.4% 7.7% 7.2% 9.3% 9.2% 10.4% 13.6% 16.9% 14.6%
David Pierce 11.0% 9.7% 11.6% 13.1% 11.3% 10.9% 12.7% 9.7% 7.5% 2.5%
Campbell Duffy 8.8% 11.5% 10.2% 11.3% 11.7% 11.5% 11.8% 10.9% 8.0% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.