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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College1.69+5.25vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.78-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.97+0.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83-0.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.18-1.90vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26-3.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-5.65vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.67-1.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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5.95Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.1Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.99Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.35Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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8.34Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Raatz | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 17.3% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% |
| Campbell Duffy | 12.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| David Pierce | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 22.4% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| John Fonte | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 50.6% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.