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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University2.29+2.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+3.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.59vs Predicted
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5Amherst College1.69+1.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.78-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.97-2.30vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.67-0.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.18-4.86vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.26-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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3.41Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.31Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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8.25Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.03Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.5% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 19.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| John Fonte | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 48.2% |
| Campbell Duffy | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| David Pierce | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.