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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.97+4.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+1.39vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.78-1.20vs Predicted
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6Bates College2.26-1.04vs Predicted
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7Amherst College1.69-0.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83-2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.18-3.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.50vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.67-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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3.39Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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4.96Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.28Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.0Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.13Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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8.3Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Norton | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 23.3% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| David Pierce | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Johannes Raatz | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 11.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 7.9% |
| Campbell Duffy | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Morgan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% |
| John Fonte | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.