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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.97+4.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.18+3.20vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.26+2.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.78-3.22vs Predicted
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8Amherst College1.69-1.64vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83-3.08vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-5.12vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.67-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.1Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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3.35Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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6.36Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.29Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Norton | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Campbell Duffy | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| David Pierce | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 13.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 22.7% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 19.4% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Johannes Raatz | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| John Fonte | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.