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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.36vs Predicted
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2Amherst College1.69+4.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.97+2.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.18+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.78-1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-0.51vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26-3.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83-3.09vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.67-1.72vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.32Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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5.17Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.95Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.28Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 24.8% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Johannes Raatz | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Campbell Duffy | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 19.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 13.3% |
| David Pierce | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| John Fonte | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 48.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.