← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.23+1.94vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.73+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.50+2.40vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.78-0.78vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.55-1.71vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston0.76-0.92vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.02-2.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.36-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94College of Charleston2.2327.9%1st Place
-
4.68Christopher Newport University0.737.9%1st Place
-
5.4Florida State University0.506.0%1st Place
-
3.22North Carolina State University1.7820.2%1st Place
-
3.29Jacksonville University1.5518.6%1st Place
-
5.08College of Charleston0.767.4%1st Place
-
4.67University of South Florida1.029.2%1st Place
-
6.73University of Miami-0.362.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 27.9% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Brady Parks | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| Adam Larson | 20.2% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew King | 18.6% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 12.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 6.9% |
| Timothy Hibben | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.