Race 10A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johanna Kincaid 23.8% 21.4% 15.2% 11.7% 9.7% 7.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Kaitlyn Norton 8.3% 6.8% 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 12.4% 13.7% 10.3% 7.2%
Colby Vavolotis 17.3% 17.5% 13.6% 15.0% 12.6% 9.6% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Campbell Duffy 8.4% 10.8% 12.0% 10.3% 12.9% 11.2% 12.6% 9.4% 8.4% 4.0%
Christopher Jensen 11.7% 11.4% 10.5% 12.4% 11.0% 13.6% 11.4% 8.5% 6.7% 2.8%
David Pierce 12.6% 9.6% 10.6% 12.8% 12.9% 11.2% 10.7% 8.8% 7.1% 3.7%
Johannes Raatz 4.8% 6.1% 8.3% 7.2% 10.7% 11.0% 12.0% 14.5% 15.2% 10.2%
Andrew Morgan 4.9% 6.1% 8.2% 7.3% 7.4% 10.8% 10.0% 14.0% 17.9% 13.4%
John Fonte 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.8% 2.6% 4.8% 6.8% 9.1% 16.2% 49.3%
Tasha Greenwood 6.3% 8.1% 7.9% 9.8% 9.3% 9.9% 12.1% 13.9% 14.2% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.