← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.78+2.20vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston0.76+3.10vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.23+0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami-0.36+2.67vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.90-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.50-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.70-3.64vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.73-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2North Carolina State University1.7821.0%1st Place
-
5.1College of Charleston0.767.0%1st Place
-
3.06College of Charleston2.2323.3%1st Place
-
6.67University of Miami-0.362.9%1st Place
-
4.5University of South Florida0.9010.4%1st Place
-
5.38Florida State University0.506.3%1st Place
-
3.36Jacksonville University1.7019.6%1st Place
-
4.74Christopher Newport University0.739.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 21.0% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 13.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 23.3% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Hibben | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 51.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Brady Parks | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 19.6% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.