Race 11A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colby Vavolotis 20.6% 16.6% 15.5% 12.4% 10.9% 8.9% 7.0% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Campbell Duffy 10.1% 8.5% 11.5% 11.1% 11.7% 12.6% 11.1% 10.4% 9.0% 4.0%
Johanna Kincaid 22.3% 17.5% 16.7% 16.0% 10.9% 7.6% 4.8% 2.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Andrew Morgan 4.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 8.3% 10.2% 13.1% 14.1% 17.1% 13.1%
David Pierce 10.3% 12.2% 11.1% 11.1% 11.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.4% 7.5% 3.4%
Tasha Greenwood 8.5% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 10.8% 11.9% 9.9% 14.1% 14.0% 8.7%
Christopher Jensen 8.8% 13.4% 11.2% 12.9% 12.3% 11.6% 12.8% 7.9% 6.4% 2.7%
Johannes Raatz 5.2% 7.4% 7.7% 9.0% 7.9% 10.3% 11.0% 14.2% 16.4% 10.9%
Kaitlyn Norton 8.0% 8.8% 8.5% 10.5% 11.4% 9.9% 12.0% 14.0% 10.6% 6.3%
John Fonte 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 7.1% 8.4% 15.2% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.