Race 12A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johannes Raatz 6.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 10.8% 13.7% 14.8% 14.7%
Johanna Kincaid 23.0% 19.1% 14.9% 12.8% 13.2% 6.3% 4.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.7%
Campbell Duffy 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.8% 9.2% 12.8% 14.5% 9.3% 8.6% 6.5%
Kaitlyn Norton 7.4% 7.7% 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 12.1% 11.0% 11.3% 9.2%
David Pierce 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 12.3% 11.7% 13.5% 9.0% 8.4% 7.3% 5.4%
Christopher Jensen 11.9% 10.7% 10.8% 12.3% 12.0% 10.8% 10.9% 9.2% 7.9% 3.5%
Tasha Greenwood 5.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 14.8% 13.2% 10.6%
Andrew Morgan 4.7% 5.8% 8.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.9% 10.2% 13.2% 15.9% 18.2%
Jared Dunn 4.5% 3.6% 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 8.9% 8.5% 12.0% 16.9% 30.1%
Colby Vavolotis 16.9% 18.7% 14.9% 12.2% 11.6% 8.8% 8.4% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.