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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.04vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+0.40vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-1.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.76-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.36-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04College of Charleston2.2323.4%1st Place
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3.19North Carolina State University1.7821.8%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University1.7018.7%1st Place
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4.71Christopher Newport University0.738.8%1st Place
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5.32Florida State University0.506.4%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida0.9011.2%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston0.767.5%1st Place
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6.74University of Miami-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 23.4% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 21.8% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 18.7% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.0% |
| Brady Parks | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 15.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 6.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 14.5% |
| Timothy Hibben | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.