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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.78+1.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.18+2.38vs Predicted
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4Amherst College1.69+2.43vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25+1.30vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.26-1.98vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29-2.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-2.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-3.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.97-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.38Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.43Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.3Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.02Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 24.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 17.1% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Campbell Duffy | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 29.0% |
| David Pierce | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.