← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johanna Kincaid 24.3% 20.5% 14.1% 12.1% 9.9% 8.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 1.0%
Colby Vavolotis 17.1% 16.5% 16.0% 12.7% 10.8% 10.7% 7.3% 5.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Campbell Duffy 10.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 11.5% 12.8% 13.2% 9.7% 9.1% 5.8%
Johannes Raatz 4.5% 5.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 11.6% 13.9% 13.6% 15.0%
Jared Dunn 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.9% 5.5% 6.0% 8.2% 12.3% 18.3% 29.0%
David Pierce 12.3% 10.1% 11.0% 11.4% 11.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.9% 8.2% 4.1%
Christopher Jensen 9.0% 11.7% 11.7% 11.0% 14.7% 11.0% 10.3% 9.3% 7.0% 4.3%
Andrew Morgan 4.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.7% 7.6% 8.7% 11.5% 11.4% 15.3% 19.0%
Tasha Greenwood 7.2% 6.1% 8.9% 8.4% 10.2% 11.2% 10.6% 12.7% 13.7% 11.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 6.4% 10.2% 8.7% 9.8% 9.4% 11.3% 11.4% 12.6% 10.3% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.