← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johanna Kincaid 25.5% 18.5% 15.5% 11.4% 9.7% 8.8% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Christopher Jensen 10.7% 10.1% 12.4% 10.7% 11.3% 13.2% 11.5% 7.6% 7.5% 5.0%
Jared Dunn 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 6.2% 5.6% 6.7% 7.9% 12.2% 18.0% 31.4%
Andrew Morgan 4.1% 5.1% 6.5% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 11.2% 13.9% 15.4% 17.5%
Colby Vavolotis 17.9% 16.7% 14.9% 14.5% 11.4% 10.0% 5.5% 5.4% 2.3% 1.4%
Campbell Duffy 10.5% 10.2% 9.2% 10.4% 12.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.6% 7.9% 5.6%
David Pierce 8.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.9% 11.9% 11.0% 12.5% 8.7% 7.5% 4.4%
Johannes Raatz 5.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 12.9% 13.1% 13.4% 14.5%
Tasha Greenwood 6.9% 6.7% 8.3% 8.9% 10.3% 9.8% 11.9% 12.1% 14.9% 10.2%
Kaitlyn Norton 7.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.1% 11.6% 10.6% 9.8% 13.2% 11.7% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.