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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+2.05vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University1.25+3.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.78-2.13vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.18-1.75vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26-2.90vs Predicted
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9Amherst College1.69-2.67vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-3.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.97-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Brown University3.010.3%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.47Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.1Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.33Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 25.5% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 31.4% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Campbell Duffy | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| David Pierce | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 10.2% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.