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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+2.66vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.76+2.11vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78-0.78vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+0.32vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55-2.66vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.36-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0College of Charleston2.2324.5%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida1.029.4%1st Place
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5.11College of Charleston0.766.9%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.7821.1%1st Place
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5.32Florida State University0.507.0%1st Place
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3.34Jacksonville University1.5518.4%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University0.739.7%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami-0.362.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Geller | 24.5% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Jordan Byrd | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 7.8% |
Fredrikke Foss | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 12.4% |
Adam Larson | 21.1% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Brady Parks | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 15.2% |
Matthew King | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
Joshua Bendura | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 8.9% |
Timothy Hibben | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.