Race 15A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kaitlyn Norton 8.1% 8.8% 10.1% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 13.6% 11.0% 11.3% 8.8%
Johanna Kincaid 23.1% 17.9% 16.5% 14.3% 10.2% 7.8% 4.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.5%
David Pierce 10.0% 10.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.3% 13.0% 11.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.9%
Jared Dunn 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 7.9% 9.3% 6.7% 12.1% 18.2% 29.7%
Colby Vavolotis 16.9% 17.4% 16.5% 14.7% 11.1% 8.2% 6.6% 5.1% 2.0% 1.5%
Christopher Jensen 12.0% 11.2% 9.4% 13.2% 12.8% 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 7.0% 4.0%
Tasha Greenwood 5.4% 6.8% 9.5% 7.9% 9.0% 10.8% 13.6% 11.7% 14.3% 11.0%
Campbell Duffy 9.9% 11.2% 11.3% 9.4% 10.9% 12.5% 11.2% 9.9% 8.3% 5.4%
Johannes Raatz 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 9.1% 8.4% 10.2% 10.5% 13.5% 15.6% 13.8%
Andrew Morgan 4.9% 6.7% 6.1% 6.2% 8.8% 8.8% 10.9% 13.2% 15.0% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.