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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+2.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+1.54vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+0.10vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.84+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02-1.13vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-2.06vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.76-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28North Carolina State University1.7821.6%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.7018.6%1st Place
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3.1College of Charleston2.2322.6%1st Place
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5.59Florida State University0.505.9%1st Place
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5.37University of Miami0.846.8%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida1.029.2%1st Place
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4.94Christopher Newport University0.738.0%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston0.767.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Larson | 21.6% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Patrick Igoe | 18.6% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
Brandon Geller | 22.6% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Brady Parks | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 24.6% |
Zachary Ward | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
Jordan Byrd | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 12.8% |
Joshua Bendura | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
Fredrikke Foss | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.