Race 16A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kaitlyn Norton 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 10.0% 10.5% 10.5% 13.5% 10.6% 9.4%
David Pierce 11.1% 9.5% 10.6% 11.4% 13.2% 10.3% 12.5% 8.3% 9.2% 3.9%
Colby Vavolotis 16.6% 17.2% 15.2% 12.8% 13.6% 8.2% 8.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
Johanna Kincaid 20.9% 21.5% 16.0% 13.6% 11.1% 7.3% 4.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Christopher Jensen 11.8% 10.3% 10.9% 12.5% 10.2% 14.7% 9.1% 8.9% 8.0% 3.6%
Tasha Greenwood 8.4% 7.5% 6.9% 8.8% 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 11.9% 12.4% 12.5%
Jared Dunn 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 9.6% 12.9% 17.2% 30.2%
Andrew Morgan 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.2% 9.1% 11.0% 12.7% 16.6% 17.1%
Campbell Duffy 10.2% 9.4% 10.5% 11.2% 10.6% 11.7% 13.0% 9.8% 8.4% 5.2%
Johannes Raatz 5.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 9.7% 10.9% 13.5% 14.1% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.