← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.23+2.08vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.02+2.86vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.78+0.37vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.70-0.46vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston0.76+0.32vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.50-0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami0.84-1.68vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.73-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08College of Charleston2.2324.4%1st Place
-
4.86University of South Florida1.029.2%1st Place
-
3.37North Carolina State University1.7819.2%1st Place
-
3.54Jacksonville University1.7018.6%1st Place
-
5.32College of Charleston0.766.9%1st Place
-
5.6Florida State University0.505.0%1st Place
-
5.32University of Miami0.846.6%1st Place
-
4.91Christopher Newport University0.7310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 24.4% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Adam Larson | 19.2% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| Brady Parks | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 25.7% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.