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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.78+2.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.18+2.30vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+1.19vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+0.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-2.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-0.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83-1.88vs Predicted
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9Amherst College1.69-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.97-4.23vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University1.25-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.19Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.01Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.38Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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6.12Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.37Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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7.4Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vavolotis | 19.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Campbell Duffy | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| David Pierce | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 22.8% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Morgan | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.6% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Jared Dunn | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.