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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.12vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.35vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.76+2.32vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55-0.61vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.84-1.53vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.73-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12College of Charleston2.2324.0%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University1.7821.0%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston0.766.6%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.5519.9%1st Place
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5.56Florida State University0.505.9%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida1.029.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Miami0.845.7%1st Place
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4.95Christopher Newport University0.737.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 24.0% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larson | 21.0% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| Matthew King | 19.9% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Brady Parks | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 25.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 21.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.