Race 18A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Johanna Kincaid 24.5% 20.1% 14.8% 11.5% 11.1% 7.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7%
David Pierce 10.4% 10.7% 10.3% 11.8% 12.1% 11.0% 12.2% 8.0% 8.6% 4.9%
Campbell Duffy 9.4% 8.2% 10.7% 10.3% 10.9% 12.7% 12.3% 11.0% 8.6% 5.9%
Jared Dunn 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 6.8% 6.4% 8.2% 8.4% 12.3% 16.6% 30.1%
Christopher Jensen 11.3% 11.3% 11.8% 10.9% 11.3% 12.1% 12.3% 7.9% 6.1% 5.0%
Andrew Morgan 6.1% 6.4% 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 10.0% 10.4% 11.7% 17.7% 17.6%
Colby Vavolotis 16.1% 16.7% 16.5% 15.5% 11.5% 9.0% 6.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.7%
Kaitlyn Norton 7.5% 10.0% 8.8% 8.0% 11.8% 12.0% 11.2% 11.3% 10.4% 9.0%
Tasha Greenwood 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 9.9% 9.0% 10.0% 10.3% 15.2% 13.2% 10.6%
Johannes Raatz 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 7.9% 9.3% 7.5% 12.1% 14.2% 14.2% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.