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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.73+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.00-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.32-2.57vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.60-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49University of Minnesota2.530.6%1st Place
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4.25University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
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2.7University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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2.43University of Michigan1.320.2%1st Place
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4.14Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 63.0% | 27.1% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 2.2% | 3.7% | 11.1% | 32.9% | 50.1% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 13.9% | 26.1% | 39.8% | 16.9% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 18.2% | 37.5% | 29.4% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Philip Niles | 2.7% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 35.6% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.