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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53-0.54vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.60+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.00-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.73-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Michigan1.320.2%1st Place
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1.46University of Minnesota2.530.6%1st Place
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4.13Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.71University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Barch | 19.4% | 33.3% | 31.9% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Drake Lundeen | 64.7% | 25.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Niles | 2.5% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 38.9% | 42.1% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 11.4% | 29.3% | 39.5% | 16.0% | 3.8% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 2.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 31.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.