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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.12+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.39+0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.21+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.57-1.10vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.68-0.63vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.12-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Michigan1.120.3%1st Place
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2.01University of Minnesota1.390.4%1st Place
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3.77University of Minnesota-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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4.37Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.6Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Barbour | 28.5% | 30.8% | 23.2% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Kirstin Wilson | 41.8% | 28.7% | 19.0% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Faust | 8.9% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 29.0% | 29.9% | 5.3% |
| Michael Kang | 16.1% | 22.0% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 21.2% | 41.6% | 15.8% |
| William Lane | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.