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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.12+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.57-0.11vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.68-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.21-2.10vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.12-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Michigan1.120.3%1st Place
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1.99University of Minnesota1.390.4%1st Place
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2.89University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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4.29Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Minnesota-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.59Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Barbour | 28.2% | 31.9% | 23.2% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Kirstin Wilson | 43.0% | 27.3% | 20.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kang | 16.7% | 22.2% | 27.6% | 23.1% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 42.0% | 12.7% |
| Charles Faust | 6.6% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 29.8% | 28.7% | 8.7% |
| William Lane | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.