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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.39+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.12+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.21+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.57-2.11vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.68-1.62vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.12-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Minnesota1.390.4%1st Place
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2.3University of Michigan1.120.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Minnesota-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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4.38Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.6Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirstin Wilson | 37.6% | 32.6% | 18.8% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Katie Barbour | 31.8% | 27.7% | 24.3% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Faust | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 29.5% | 29.4% | 5.5% |
| Michael Kang | 16.9% | 21.4% | 28.1% | 23.4% | 9.3% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 41.7% | 15.9% |
| William Lane | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 13.3% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.