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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.12+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.390.00vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.57-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.21-0.21vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.68-0.62vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.12-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Michigan1.120.3%1st Place
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2.0University of Minnesota1.390.4%1st Place
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2.88University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Minnesota-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.38Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.59Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Barbour | 28.2% | 30.7% | 23.5% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kirstin Wilson | 43.1% | 26.7% | 20.0% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kang | 17.1% | 22.0% | 27.3% | 24.4% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Charles Faust | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 28.9% | 29.4% | 5.8% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 3.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 42.1% | 15.8% |
| William Lane | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 5.4% | 14.2% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.