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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.66+6.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+3.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+1.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+1.22vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.27+0.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-2.87vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.25vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.84-0.69vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University2.38-0.26vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.79-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.17-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.57vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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11.74Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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14.4Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Carminati | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 15.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Philip Alley | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 16.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.