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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+3.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.79+5.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.27+3.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+0.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.36-5.71vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University2.38-0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-3.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-3.57vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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9.0Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.72Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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14.38Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Philip Alley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| Robert Long | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.