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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+4.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+5.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+1.39vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.27+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99-0.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.79+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.84-0.69vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine2.17-0.68vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.38-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.64vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.39Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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11.68Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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14.4Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 16.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 10.6% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Robert Long | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 16.8% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.