← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mac Mace 19.8% 19.3% 17.7% 16.3% 15.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Verney 11.4% 14.1% 15.6% 17.8% 18.2% 13.4% 6.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jordan Todd 5.1% 4.7% 6.5% 8.7% 10.5% 23.7% 23.3% 13.1% 3.8% 0.6%
Will Stocke 15.8% 16.5% 19.5% 17.8% 16.7% 9.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Voss 27.6% 24.3% 18.7% 13.9% 9.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Heausler 16.2% 15.9% 16.2% 16.5% 17.3% 11.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Oliver Evans 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 4.6% 8.2% 20.1% 32.7% 30.0%
Jonathon Norcross 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 5.2% 6.2% 14.8% 27.2% 21.2% 13.2% 4.0%
Ervin Grove 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 3.8% 7.8% 15.9% 26.4% 25.7% 14.5%
Kristoffer Bostic 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 1.1% 1.1% 3.6% 5.0% 13.5% 23.7% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.