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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79+6.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.84+2.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27-0.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.19-4.07vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University2.38+0.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-4.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine2.17-0.71vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.36-8.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.60vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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5.09Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.7Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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14.39Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Philip Alley | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 11.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 15.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
| Robert Long | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.