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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+4.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+1.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+0.85vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43-0.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+0.03vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.79+0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.84-0.72vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.28vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.38-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-3.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-3.56vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.74Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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14.38Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Philip Alley | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 17.4% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.4% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.