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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+4.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+1.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10-0.41vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-1.78vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University2.38+3.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.84+0.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.17+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.79-1.65vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.72vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.27-5.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-5.98vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.27-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.76Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.6Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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15.28Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 11.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 3.8% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 17.5% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Philip Alley | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.