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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+5.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+1.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.56+0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83-2.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66-0.20vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.01+1.00vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56-1.77vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.37-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.30-3.19vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.37-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.0%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.5112.6%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont0.243.5%1st Place
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5.81Boston University1.019.6%1st Place
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5.11Boston College1.5611.2%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.8318.4%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University0.666.0%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University0.012.5%1st Place
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7.23Boston University0.565.6%1st Place
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8.07Brown University0.374.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island0.304.5%1st Place
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9.88Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.9%1st Place
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9.79University of New Hampshire-0.372.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 18.0% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nick Budington | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 26.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.