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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.83+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+5.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+1.06vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+1.78vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.01-0.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-2.03vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+1.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.37-0.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.01-1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.30-4.02vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.37-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.0%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.8318.6%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont0.243.4%1st Place
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5.06Boston College1.5611.7%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University0.666.4%1st Place
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5.89Boston University1.018.8%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University1.5112.8%1st Place
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9.78Maine Maritime Academy-0.332.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University0.373.2%1st Place
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8.81Northeastern University0.013.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston University0.565.9%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island0.304.2%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-0.371.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 18.0% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 18.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Nick Budington | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Clark Morris | 12.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 27.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.