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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+8.00vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.84+5.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99-0.01vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-2.19vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-5.44vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.27-3.29vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.79-2.57vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.38-2.45vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-2.72vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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6.49SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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12.55Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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15.3Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Karl Haelsig | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 11.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 16.6% |
| Robert Long | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 15.7% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.