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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+3.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.66+4.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+2.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.96vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.56+1.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.83-3.05vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.01+1.00vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.30-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24-1.59vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.37-2.98vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.37-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Boston College1.5612.8%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University0.666.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston University1.018.9%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University1.5112.4%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston University0.564.9%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University1.8318.2%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University0.013.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island0.304.9%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont0.243.5%1st Place
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8.02Brown University0.373.8%1st Place
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10.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.332.1%1st Place
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9.92University of New Hampshire-0.371.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andy Yu | 18.0% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 18.2% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 29.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.