Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kurt Stuebe 19.3% 17.7% 15.5% 13.4% 10.4% 7.8% 7.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 8.4% 10.0% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 10.9% 10.1% 8.2% 6.3% 4.1% 2.9% 0.9%
Andy Yu 18.4% 16.3% 15.3% 13.8% 10.3% 8.8% 6.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Clark Morris 11.1% 11.1% 12.2% 11.7% 12.7% 10.8% 9.3% 9.3% 5.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Nick Budington 11.7% 13.6% 11.9% 11.9% 10.9% 10.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Meredith Broadus 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 6.9% 8.6% 10.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.0% 10.1% 7.6% 5.3% 2.2%
Gavin Monaghan 6.1% 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.4% 10.4% 12.4% 9.9% 8.8% 6.1% 3.4%
Isabella Cho 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.7% 11.7% 13.4% 13.9% 15.2%
Willem Weinberg 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 10.1% 9.4% 11.6% 11.5% 6.6%
Nathan Hyde 1.9% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 5.7% 6.8% 9.2% 12.3% 16.2% 28.8%
Ted Richardsson 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 7.8% 9.0% 12.4% 18.3% 24.9%
Caitlin Derby 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.8% 8.2% 8.3% 9.1% 11.3% 12.2% 13.1% 10.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.5% 11.7% 11.7% 10.7% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.