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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.69+6.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.39vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+3.55vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+6.68vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.28+3.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.65vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University2.37+3.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.76+4.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.48-2.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of Florida3.41-4.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-6.55vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-7.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.79-5.32vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.35-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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4.39Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.68Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.78Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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16.19Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.0% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Fuller | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 15.0% | 35.8% | 14.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| William Heausler | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.9% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.