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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+4.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+2.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.93vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.01+4.00vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+3.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.24+1.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.66-1.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.37-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.30-2.02vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-3.80vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.83-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Boston College1.5611.9%1st Place
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3.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.3%1st Place
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5.92Boston University1.018.6%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.5112.2%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University0.012.6%1st Place
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9.91Maine Maritime Academy-0.332.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont0.243.6%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University0.666.6%1st Place
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8.06Brown University0.373.9%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island0.303.4%1st Place
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7.2Boston University0.565.3%1st Place
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9.91University of New Hampshire-0.372.2%1st Place
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3.89Tufts University1.8319.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 18.3% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Clark Morris | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 28.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Willem Weinberg | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 27.6% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 19.2% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.