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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+3.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+0.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.01+3.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.37+1.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.30-0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56-1.82vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.11+1.17vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-3.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Boston College1.5611.6%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8019.0%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University1.8318.5%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University1.5112.2%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University0.013.3%1st Place
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7.89Brown University0.374.2%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University0.666.3%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island0.304.3%1st Place
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7.18Boston University0.565.4%1st Place
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11.17University of New Hampshire-1.110.9%1st Place
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9.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.9%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont0.243.9%1st Place
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5.8Boston University1.018.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 19.0% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 49.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.