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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.28+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.48+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.79+2.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-2.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.41vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.76-0.20vs Predicted
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15University of Florida3.41-6.65vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-3.89vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.35-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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4.42Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.68Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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12.11Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.17Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Fuller | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 34.6% | 14.5% |
| William Heausler | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 5.5% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.