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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+7.49vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69-0.68vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.28+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.79+0.78vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77+0.01vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-5.56vs Predicted
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13University of Florida3.41-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.76+0.16vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-2.71vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-9.37vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.91-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.56Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.32University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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11.01Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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14.16University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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12.29Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.75Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| David Hernandez | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Randall Hartranft | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Heausler | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Fuller | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 19.5% | 35.9% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Feik | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.