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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.02+1.93vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.72+4.07vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.44+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.10-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.04-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.31-3.69vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.62-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.21vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Wisconsin1.6752.8%1st Place
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3.93University of Michigan0.029.6%1st Place
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7.07Northwestern University-1.721.3%1st Place
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6.55Northwestern University-1.442.3%1st Place
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3.72University of Chicago0.1011.3%1st Place
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5.65University of Michigan-1.043.5%1st Place
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3.31University of Minnesota0.3114.7%1st Place
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6.71Northwestern University-1.622.4%1st Place
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7.79University of Saint Thomas-2.161.1%1st Place
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8.52Saginaw Valley State University-2.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 52.8% | 29.2% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 9.6% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 11.6% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 11.3% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Caplis | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Fergus Munro | 14.7% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Shah | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| Brady Boland | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 24.3% | 23.7% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.