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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.83+2.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+2.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.76vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+5.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-0.32vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.01-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.24+1.36vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.30-1.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-3.60vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.01-2.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University-0.46-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.8317.8%1st Place
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4.87Boston College1.5613.5%1st Place
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3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.6%1st Place
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9.63Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.7%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University1.5114.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston University1.018.8%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont0.243.4%1st Place
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6.9Boston University0.566.3%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island0.304.0%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University0.666.7%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University0.012.3%1st Place
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9.57Brown University-0.461.7%1st Place
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11.07University of New Hampshire-1.111.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 18.6% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Clark Morris | 14.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Ali Zaidi | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.