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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+7.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+7.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+4.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+1.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.79+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Florida3.41-0.32vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-3.61vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.28-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-4.55vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University1.91+0.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-9.33vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-4.10vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.76-1.84vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.3University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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13.77Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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4.67Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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12.34Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| David Hernandez | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colin Feik | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 30.4% |
| Graham Landy | 16.7% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Fuller | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 33.8% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.