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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+2.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+0.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+0.85vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.56+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+2.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.01+1.60vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01-2.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.66-2.42vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.42vs Predicted
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11Brown University-0.46-1.43vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.30-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8018.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.5111.7%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University1.8320.3%1st Place
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4.85Boston College1.5612.4%1st Place
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6.94Boston University0.565.7%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont0.243.1%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University0.012.9%1st Place
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5.55Boston University1.0110.4%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University0.665.7%1st Place
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9.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.8%1st Place
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9.57Brown University-0.462.5%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island0.304.2%1st Place
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11.04University of New Hampshire-1.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 18.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 20.3% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Ali Zaidi | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.