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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.79+8.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of Florida3.41+3.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.28+3.08vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-1.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-1.57vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.43vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-7.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.86vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-3.05vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.19-3.23vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.35-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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9.08SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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16.25Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Heausler | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| David Hernandez | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 17.8% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 2.3% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 5.6% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 24.0% | 8.2% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.