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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.48+5.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.28+4.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.79+5.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.71vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.19+2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Florida3.41-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.04vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-8.42vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.37-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-7.61vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-5.12vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.35-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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8.95SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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12.26Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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16.24Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 7.6% |
| William Heausler | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Graham Landy | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 23.7% | 5.4% |
| David Hernandez | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 2.7% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.