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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.48+7.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+4.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.79+6.96vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+3.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-2.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Florida3.41-0.21vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77+0.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-3.37vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.28-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.72vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University1.91-0.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-8.38vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.19-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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10.89Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.08SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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13.93Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.52Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEAN Ross | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 16.4% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| William Heausler | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Colin Feik | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 35.3% |
| William Bailey | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.