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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida3.41+7.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+6.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+4.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.79+6.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+2.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+1.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.73vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.91+4.78vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.48-1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.45vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-4.86vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-2.78vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-5.12vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.76-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.64University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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13.78Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.86SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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12.22Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Heausler | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Feik | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 29.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| David Hernandez | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Fuller | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.