← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+7.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Florida3.41+6.04vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.48+4.84vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.67+3.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.76+8.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami3.69+1.28vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.28+1.59vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University2.37+3.66vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.89-3.75vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.77vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.77-1.51vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin3.36-4.55vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.74vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.70-7.99vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine2.79-5.46vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University0.35-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.41University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.84University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.21Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
13.49University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.28University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.59SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
-
11.66Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
-
8.07Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
10.49Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
7.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.01Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
-
16.17Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| William Heausler | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Fuller | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 33.4% | 14.5% |
| David Hernandez | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 4.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.