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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+0.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.53+1.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.96+5.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.03+2.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10+1.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+1.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.59-3.80vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University-0.25-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.83-0.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.17-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Boston College2.5847.0%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University1.5316.5%1st Place
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8.82Boston University-0.961.2%1st Place
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6.54Brown University0.032.8%1st Place
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6.23Boston University0.103.2%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.7%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University1.5917.6%1st Place
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9.02Maine Maritime Academy-1.051.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island-0.202.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University-0.252.6%1st Place
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10.25University of New Hampshire-1.830.4%1st Place
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7.29Northeastern University-0.172.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 47.0% | 27.5% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 16.5% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas David | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 15.8% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Gus Macaulay | 17.6% | 23.3% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Greta Traver | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 47.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.