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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+1.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.53+1.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+0.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+2.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+2.28vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.96+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17-0.71vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.25-1.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.03-3.43vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Boston College2.5845.4%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University1.5315.5%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University1.5917.6%1st Place
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6.21Boston University0.104.7%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.183.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University-0.961.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island-0.202.2%1st Place
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7.29Northeastern University-0.172.9%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University-0.252.4%1st Place
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6.57Brown University0.033.2%1st Place
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8.25Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.3%1st Place
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10.42University of New Hampshire-1.830.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 45.4% | 27.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 15.5% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 17.6% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas David | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 16.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 10.4% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.