← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+3.37vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami3.69+5.35vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.70+4.39vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College3.28+4.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida3.41+3.31vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.55vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.51vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine2.79+2.69vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.67-1.36vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.48-1.94vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.77+0.04vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.48-4.68vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin3.36-5.20vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington2.19-2.13vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University2.37-3.61vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University1.91-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.37Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
7.35University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.39Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.96SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
7.51U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.69University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
-
7.64Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.06University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.04Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
-
8.32Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.8University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
12.87University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
-
12.39Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
-
13.79Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 20.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| William Heausler | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Colin Kincaid | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 22.6% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| Colin Feik | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.