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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Florida3.41+4.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+5.74vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+1.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48+0.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-3.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.06vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.37-0.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-5.20vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University1.91-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.79-5.06vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.19-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.51Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.58University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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10.74Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.94SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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12.42Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| David Hernandez | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Colin Feik | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 34.5% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.