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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+0.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+0.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+2.29vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+3.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.25+1.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.96+1.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.03-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.82vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.83+0.44vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.17-3.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Boston College2.5846.0%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University1.5916.8%1st Place
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3.43Tufts University1.5316.6%1st Place
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6.29Boston University0.103.8%1st Place
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8.16Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.9%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University-0.252.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University-0.961.3%1st Place
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6.58Brown University0.033.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island-0.202.4%1st Place
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10.44University of New Hampshire-1.830.8%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University-0.172.7%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 46.0% | 26.9% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 16.8% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 16.6% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 9.6% |
| Greta Traver | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas David | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 53.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.