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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.16vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.28+6.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+4.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-0.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.48+0.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Florida3.41-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36-2.19vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.91+1.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.79-3.03vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.19-3.00vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.82SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.42Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.34Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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13.75Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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12.33Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 18.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| David Hernandez | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| William Heausler | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 35.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 21.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.