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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+0.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.59+1.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+0.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+2.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.96+3.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+0.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.03-0.77vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University-0.25-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Boston College2.5846.2%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University1.5917.4%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University1.5314.8%1st Place
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6.1Boston University0.104.5%1st Place
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8.23Boston University-0.961.2%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.9%1st Place
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6.23Brown University0.034.4%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University-0.172.8%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island-0.202.8%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University-0.252.6%1st Place
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9.74University of New Hampshire-1.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 46.2% | 27.7% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 17.4% | 21.5% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 14.8% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas David | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 18.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Greta Traver | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.