Race 1A

bowdoin-mid-week-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kique Ruiz 15.0% 14.1% 12.1% 12.2% 11.9% 9.5% 9.1% 6.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ted Lutton 16.2% 15.0% 15.6% 12.7% 11.1% 9.3% 7.8% 5.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Harry Stevenson 5.8% 7.0% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.5% 8.9% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 1.9%
Cameron Frary 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 7.6% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 8.9% 8.2% 4.3% 1.4%
Griffen Horne 6.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.3% 10.3% 9.4% 10.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.1% 5.5% 4.1% 0.8%
Nathan Hyde 5.8% 6.3% 6.2% 8.3% 7.6% 9.9% 8.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 8.3% 4.6% 1.1%
Jett Lindelof 19.6% 15.8% 14.9% 13.4% 11.2% 9.2% 6.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Timmy Gee 12.2% 12.6% 13.1% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 9.8% 7.6% 5.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Ethan Baker 2.4% 2.7% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 10.4% 15.2% 23.5% 16.9%
Harrison Nash 4.0% 5.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 10.3% 11.2% 11.6% 10.9% 6.2% 2.2%
Gray Dinsel 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 7.4% 11.2% 16.6% 21.7% 15.7%
Isaac Thompson 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.3% 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 10.2% 13.6% 14.0% 11.1% 3.6%
Mitchel Soederberg 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 4.9% 7.8% 17.9% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.