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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
6.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.78vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.31-0.18vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.15-3.39vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University1.52-5.74vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.90-5.04vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.76-8.49vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.68-7.56vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.02-9.46vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.02-10.48vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.46-10.82vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon1.97-16.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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4.61Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.26Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.96Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington0.680.0%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.52Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Oregon1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Evan Rankin | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Patrick Taylor | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Brian Hickman | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Jake Fetterman | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% |
| Christopher Fuller | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Michael Mallory | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 20.6% |
| Debbi Kenote | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 30.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.