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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+3.45vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+2.15vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+3.56vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.40+0.66vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+1.70vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.72-1.86vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.13vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.55+1.75vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.58-1.69vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.91vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.33-4.16vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.52-0.50vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.61-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Bowdoin College0.5215.4%1st Place
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4.15Bates College0.6716.9%1st Place
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6.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.316.6%1st Place
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4.66Bowdoin College0.4013.6%1st Place
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6.7Bates College-0.407.2%1st Place
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4.14Bates College0.7216.0%1st Place
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6.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.335.3%1st Place
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9.75Bates College-1.551.7%1st Place
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7.31Bates College-0.585.9%1st Place
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8.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.823.4%1st Place
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6.84Bates College-0.336.1%1st Place
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11.5Bates College-2.520.4%1st Place
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9.99Bates College-1.611.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Timmy Gee | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 15.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 3.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 55.1% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.