Race 2A

psu-gorge-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Gordon 19.2% 19.0% 16.3% 13.1% 10.1% 7.5% 6.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Christopher Fuller 8.7% 10.2% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 11.7% 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7%
Andrew Balter 12.7% 11.3% 11.2% 11.5% 10.3% 11.0% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 1.1%
Jake Fetterman 3.5% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 8.7% 7.9% 11.5% 11.4% 15.2% 14.0%
Brian Hickman 6.9% 9.2% 7.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2% 9.0% 6.2% 5.2%
Michael Mallory 3.4% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 4.3% 5.7% 5.7% 9.2% 9.7% 11.5% 15.8% 22.0%
Erika Vranizan 11.2% 12.2% 11.8% 10.5% 10.4% 10.4% 8.2% 8.9% 6.7% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5%
Debbi Kenote 5.5% 5.9% 5.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.1% 12.4% 11.8%
Eliza Pearce 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 13.3% 16.7% 25.6%
Alex Waldron 5.5% 5.2% 4.7% 5.9% 9.0% 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 10.9% 12.8% 12.7% 10.0%
Evan Rankin 5.8% 5.1% 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 8.7% 10.6% 9.3% 11.5% 10.7% 9.0% 6.8%
Patrick Taylor 15.1% 13.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.0% 9.2% 9.7% 7.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.