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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+3.38vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+5.01vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.72+1.02vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.40+0.75vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+1.61vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.67-1.86vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.58+0.27vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.42vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.55+0.80vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.93vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.61-1.05vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.52-0.55vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.33-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Bowdoin College0.5214.7%1st Place
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7.01Maine Maritime Academy-0.335.5%1st Place
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4.02Bates College0.7218.9%1st Place
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4.75Bowdoin College0.4013.7%1st Place
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6.61Bates College-0.406.3%1st Place
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4.14Bates College0.6716.8%1st Place
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7.27Bates College-0.584.9%1st Place
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6.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.316.0%1st Place
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9.8Bates College-1.551.7%1st Place
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8.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.823.2%1st Place
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9.95Bates College-1.611.7%1st Place
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11.45Bates College-2.521.0%1st Place
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6.98Bates College-0.335.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Jett Lindelof | 18.9% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Timmy Gee | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 16.8% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Griffen Horne | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 23.2% | 16.3% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 18.6% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 53.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.