Race 3A

psu-gorge-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
7.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Gordon 19.8% 17.2% 15.7% 11.1% 12.6% 8.3% 6.1% 4.1% 2.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.4%
Alex Waldron 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 6.5% 7.4% 9.3% 6.5% 10.3% 10.4% 13.2% 12.3% 10.8%
Erika Vranizan 11.9% 10.1% 10.6% 10.5% 11.3% 10.4% 10.2% 8.4% 7.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.0%
Christopher Fuller 7.8% 10.6% 10.8% 11.3% 9.5% 10.2% 11.1% 8.4% 6.7% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0%
Andrew Balter 12.4% 12.9% 10.7% 11.8% 10.0% 11.0% 8.6% 7.9% 5.6% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9%
Jake Fetterman 4.0% 3.9% 6.1% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.9% 9.4% 11.8% 12.5% 14.8% 13.7%
Brian Hickman 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 10.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.5% 8.2% 10.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.8%
Evan Rankin 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 9.4% 11.3% 9.6% 10.0% 9.1% 5.8%
Patrick Taylor 14.1% 15.5% 14.3% 11.5% 12.3% 8.8% 9.0% 6.2% 5.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Eliza Pearce 3.4% 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 6.9% 7.6% 7.7% 10.8% 17.8% 27.7%
Michael Mallory 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.6% 4.6% 6.2% 5.9% 8.2% 11.1% 11.7% 16.5% 21.7%
Debbi Kenote 4.8% 4.1% 4.2% 6.1% 7.4% 6.7% 8.9% 10.0% 11.5% 12.7% 11.6% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.