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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.44vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.13vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.11vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.21vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.60vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34+2.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.20-1.02vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52+0.48vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-2.46vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.71-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Cornell University1.7916.6%1st Place
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3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1620.8%1st Place
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1324.3%1st Place
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4.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.2%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.5%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.340.9%1st Place
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5.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.203.6%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.6%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.182.4%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.711.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 20.8% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 24.3% | 23.6% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 28.1% | 23.7% |
| Owen Carolan | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 29.5% | 31.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 26.7% | 21.3% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Allison | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.