Race 4A

psu-gorge-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Gordon 18.9% 18.8% 15.3% 14.4% 10.3% 7.5% 6.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Erika Vranizan 9.7% 12.7% 10.6% 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 8.5% 9.7% 6.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.5%
Andrew Balter 12.5% 10.5% 12.5% 11.3% 10.7% 9.0% 10.9% 9.1% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 1.0%
Patrick Taylor 13.6% 14.3% 14.6% 11.9% 11.0% 10.3% 7.9% 6.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Alex Waldron 3.8% 5.9% 4.3% 7.2% 6.4% 8.0% 8.0% 9.9% 8.9% 12.2% 13.4% 12.0%
Brian Hickman 8.3% 8.4% 7.5% 8.0% 7.7% 10.2% 11.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.5% 6.2% 3.1%
Evan Rankin 6.9% 6.5% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 9.3% 9.1% 9.8% 9.5% 10.1% 9.5% 5.8%
Jake Fetterman 5.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.7% 8.7% 10.2% 12.2% 14.6% 13.9%
Michael Mallory 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% 4.9% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.1% 11.4% 11.2% 16.6% 18.9%
Debbi Kenote 5.4% 4.7% 5.9% 5.2% 7.4% 7.7% 7.7% 9.7% 10.9% 12.4% 11.9% 11.1%
Eliza Pearce 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 3.3% 4.7% 4.7% 6.0% 6.6% 9.2% 11.4% 16.6% 30.7%
Christopher Fuller 10.0% 7.9% 11.5% 9.8% 11.1% 10.4% 9.5% 8.9% 8.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.