Race 1B

psu-gorge-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ashley Vincent 13.6% 12.3% 13.0% 14.8% 11.5% 11.7% 10.3% 7.4% 3.7% 1.7%
Peter McGrath 22.2% 20.7% 15.8% 15.2% 10.5% 7.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Ian Reeves 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.2% 11.0% 12.1% 14.9% 14.7% 11.5% 7.5%
Paul Foley 15.6% 15.7% 15.0% 15.6% 13.2% 9.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
Lily Grimshaw 19.7% 19.7% 16.8% 15.5% 11.6% 7.4% 4.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Liam Quinlan 6.7% 6.0% 7.1% 7.6% 9.5% 11.0% 15.0% 13.0% 13.6% 10.5%
Tai Kami 2.7% 3.1% 5.5% 5.6% 7.3% 8.6% 10.6% 15.5% 18.5% 22.6%
Ryan Fritsen 4.9% 6.1% 8.1% 6.7% 9.1% 12.3% 13.1% 14.0% 15.1% 10.6%
Laura Marshall 2.8% 1.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 7.3% 9.4% 10.1% 19.6% 35.6%
Margaret Okrasinski 5.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 11.4% 12.6% 11.3% 14.2% 13.0% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.