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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.42vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+1.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.20-0.04vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34+0.22vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.71-0.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Cornell University1.7917.5%1st Place
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3.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7717.6%1st Place
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2.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1322.8%1st Place
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3.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1622.8%1st Place
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6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.181.9%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.203.8%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.7%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.340.5%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.710.7%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 17.5% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.6% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 22.8% | 23.0% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 22.8% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Harrod | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 28.5% | 22.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Owen Carolan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 24.6% | 14.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carter | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 22.0% | 28.8% | 24.0% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 39.7% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 29.0% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.